PECOTA: A's will win the AL West

[metsguy234]

http://baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/

Absolutely preposterous.

[metsguy234]

Brewers, Rockies, Mets all with worse records than Washington?

What dumbass made these up?

[Alloutwar]

PECOTA? More like PECOMA! They must be extremely infantile in their understanding of baseball!!!!




....if they think the Mets will win that many games this season.

[Jeffy25]

Where is that Fry pic when I need it!

[Jeffy25]

I can really see all of those projections.

I would be surprised if those guesses are more than 5 wins off on any of them.

[200tang]

PECOTA has some issues that have been brought up recently and isn't one of the better projection systems.

[Jeffy25]

PECOTA has some issues that have been brought up recently and isn't one of the better projection systems.

I think this was at least a decently fair guess.

I think the Rays were too highly rated, I think the Reds will do better than that. etc.

There are exceptions to the rule as always. But those standings would not surprise me at all.

[Jeffy25]

My views on some of the teams.

The Cardinals bullpen will blow a lot of games.

The Mets won't win as many as MG is pleading for.....they will win more like what is slated in this projection. With a very slim rotation and too many injury questions, they are looking mediocre.

The Nats and Reds will surprise some and win more than expected.

The Mariners will do much better, but they won a lot of one run ball games last year, which makes me wonder if their upgrades will really carry them fence posts ahead of their 85 win season.

The Orioles and Rangers could surprise a lot of teams.

and I would be surprised if the Twins don't win the A.L. Central again. The Indians are the only team that I could see actually competing with them.

Don't count out the Diamondbacks and if the Giants bat .267 as a team, they will win more like 90 games, not 81

I am also not so sure the Angels will really play below .500 all year, even though they lost Lackey, Figgins, and Vlad.

[metsguy234]

We need to save this thread, so we can look back on how failtastic these predictions were.

The Mets are packed with All-Stars. Jarrod Washburn will put them over the hump and should give them the Wild Card. Think about it. Reyes, Wright, Beltran, Bay, Santana, K-Rod, Castillo, even Francoeur... gasp!). A great defensive first baseman. Bounceback seasons from Pelfrey, Maine, and Perez. A strong bullpen. How could we not do good?

[Steve13]

remember they are the mets...

[OregonDuck1989]

Anyone could win the AL West this year.

[Jeffy25]

We need to save this thread, so we can look back on how failtastic these predictions were.

The Mets are packed with All-Stars. Jarrod Washburn will put them over the hump and should give them the Wild Card. Think about it. Reyes, Wright, Beltran, Bay, Santana, K-Rod, Castillo, even Francoeur... gasp!). A great defensive first baseman. Bounceback seasons from Pelfrey, Maine, and Perez. A strong bullpen. How could we not do good?

Don't over rate your players

[HoustonGM]

I see a fundamental misunderstanding of what a "projection" is. The projection has three teams in the AL West within 2 games of each other. The margin of error is enough to call the AL West "too close to call."

Furthermore, 'looking back' to preseason projections is bound to result in "fails" all over for any projection simply because there are so many unknowns that projections can't and don't project - fluke seasons, fluke injuries, trades, etc.

Also, hell no metsguy- you're crazy.

[actionjackson]

My views on some of the teams.

The Cardinals bullpen will blow a lot of games.

The Mets won't win as many as MG is pleading for.....they will win more like what is slated in this projection. With a very slim rotation and too many injury questions, they are looking mediocre.

The Nats and Reds will surprise some and win more than expected.

The Mariners will do much better, but they won a lot of one run ball games last year, which makes me wonder if their upgrades will really carry them fence posts ahead of their 85 win season.

The Orioles and Rangers could surprise a lot of teams.

and I would be surprised if the Twins don't win the A.L. Central again. The Indians are the only team that I could see actually competing with them.

Don't count out the Diamondbacks and if the Giants bat .267 as a team, they will win more like 90 games, not 81

I am also not so sure the Angels will really play below .500 all year, even though they lost Lackey, Figgins, and Vlad.

The Jays will...win a lot of games...














































wait for it...














































...in 2013. Until then I'll watch AA and his staff go to work on fixing all the damage that's been done in the last 15 years of ineptitude, or I'll take them over in OOTP or Mogul and take my frustration out on the rest of the pixel league.

[Jeffy25]

I see a fundamental misunderstanding of what a "projection" is. The projection has three teams in the AL West within 2 games of each other. The margin of error is enough to call the AL West "too close to call."

Furthermore, 'looking back' to preseason projections is bound to result in "fails" all over for any projection simply because there are so many unknowns that projections can't project - fluke injuries, trades, etc.

Also, hell no metsguy- you're crazy.

Yeah, and I would say anything 5 wins off, means the projection was pretty accurate.