Has Johan Santana peaked?

[metsguy234]

By 2012 we will want him out of New York. He's not going to be the same after this surgery.

[Wassit3]

Santana currently has a career WAR of 42.1, which is higher than some pitchers already in the Hall but most of those are considered mistakes.

Every pitcher above 70 WAR is either in the Hall already or will be in the future. Most pitchers in the 50-70 range are Hall of Famers, although there's certainly some pitchers in that range that aren't in and won't ever be in. I think if Santana cracks the 50 total WAR barrier, he should be in given his superb peak. He performed at a 3.6 WAR level last year in a shortened year. I think he'll be able to sustain a 4-5 WAR performance for at least another 3-5 years, which would put him near 60 WAR.

I'd say, given his reputation and peak, a normal decline from here will earn him a HoF spot.

inspite of the BBWAA infatuation with milestones? I dunno, I think he might not get in right away because of that.

[HoustonGM]

inspite of the BBWAA infatuation with milestones? I dunno, I think he might not get in right away because of that.

The BBWAA that will be voting 20 years from now when Santana is on the ballot will be a very different BBWAA than the current one.

[Wassit3]

The BBWAA that will be voting 20 years from now when Santana is on the ballot will be a very different BBWAA than the current one.

in personage yes but not necessarily in philosophy...I can only hope that both are true

[HoustonGM]

in personage yes but not necessarily in philosophy...I can only hope that both are true

Rob Neyer, Keith Law, Will Carroll, Christina Kahrl and the other internet writers that were recently admitted will have been voting for 5 years by then, and I have no doubt that more writers in the same vein will be getting BBWAA membership in the next few years.

[Johan Santana]

What are you talking about I'm gonna win the Cy Young this year!! You Wait and see! I've never been better

[OregonDuck1989]

Jaker.

[200tang]

I don't think that's the real Johan Santana.

[DarthJaker]

That is not me, I created the Pujols and Rasmus accounts but that's it..

[HoustonGM]

[DarthJaker]

It prob MetsGuy

[HoustonGM]

You're the only poster that randomly throws multiple smilies into the middle of posts. Also, that account got offline once you came back on.

You're a bad liar.

[DarthJaker]

I hate the Mets y would a create an account of a Met?

[HoustonGM]

Why do you do half the things you do?

[DarthJaker]

I admitted to the Pujols and Rasmus ones.. What more do you want? Im not Johan Santana... It was Clear I created Ramsus but I learned my lesson...Im not Johan Im not talking about this topic again