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Thread: Most overated HOFers

  1. #16
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    OK.... lets whip out the Keltner List
    I'll play along, but it's good to remember that the Keltner List is really just a good conversational tool, and not a hard and fast rule.

    2. Was he the best player on his team?
    78-80 Padres: Nope. Dave Winfield was.
    Okay.

    81 Padres: No, unless you don't factor in offense or baserunning at all.
    Correct.

    82-84 Cardinals: Nope. Several players were better than him each year.
    A case can be made for him in 1982. It's certainly close between him, Lonnie Smith, and Keith Hernandez. A case can be made for him in 1983 and 1984 as well.

    85-90 Cardinals: Will Clark. Vince Coleman. Willie McGee. Terry Pendleton.
    1985, Willie McGee was good, but it can be argued that Ozzie's defense put him over him. 1986, yes, Smith was the best. Same goes for 1987, although Jack Clark demolished him offensively, Clark was a below average defender at a corner position while Smith was the greatest shortstop ever. 1988, yes, it's Smith, nobody else has an argument. 1989, Pedro Guerrero and Jose Oquendo have good arguments, Smith was close but not the best. 1990, no he wasn't.

    Also, Will Clark? Clark played 51 games for St. Louis his entire career...in 2000.

    91-92 Cardinals: Yes.
    Yeah, although an argument could be made for Ray Lankford in 1992.

    93 Cardinals: No. Gregg Jeffries was. Whiten and Zeile were both better then him as well.
    Jeffries ever so slightly. Whiten and Zeile weren't better, on account for Zeile's statue defense at third base and Whiten being a league-average bat in the corner outfield.

    3. Was he the best player in baseball at his position? Was he the best player in the league at his position?
    In the very early 80s- yes

    And then came Robin Yount. And Cal Ripken.
    It changed year by year, but Smith was pretty clearly the best shortstop in a handful of years.

    And then by the end of his career Rodriguez, Jeter, Garciaparra.
    Their careers did not overlap. Smith's bench days overlapped a little with the very beginning of each of their careers, also which were spent on the bench, but for all technical purposes, there's no overlap.


    4. Did he have an impact on a number of pennant races?

    Cardinals made the playoffs 4 times while he was there, but he, for lack of a better word, sucked in the playoffs. .236 AVG overall.
    There's this little thing called his defense...

    5. Was he a good enough player that he could continue to play regularly after passing his prime?

    Kind of. Last season of 100+ games was at 38. Retires at 41.
    Yes.

    6. Is he the very best player in baseball history who is not in the Hall of Fame?

    If he wasn't in the Hall of Fame, the answer to this question would be "No"
    I wouldn't be so sure about that. An argument could be made perhaps for Blyleven...but it's not clear-cut.

    7. Are most players who have comparable career statistics in the Hall of Fame?

    Out of the 10 most similar batters to Smith, 5 are in the HOF (Aparicio, Maranville, Fox, Wallace, Schoendienst- NONE OF THESE FIVE DESERVED IT THOUGH, LOOKING AT THEIR STATS), 1 will almost certainly be in the HOF once he is eligible (Vizquel)
    This does not account for Smith's world-class better-than-anybody defense, which is the reason why he's in the Hall of Fame.


    8. Do the player's numbers meet Hall of Fame standards?

    No.
    Yes. It's called...DEFENSE.

    Absolutely putrid offense
    Not at all. For a shortstop, overall, Smith was a solid hitter with some excellent years.

    and overrated fielding (Fielding Pct isnt that high)
    I'll ignore for a minute the fact that fielding percentage is a terrible way to judge defense. Ozzie's was .978. League average was .966. Even using this terrible measure, Ozzie was far above league average. Nearly all advanced metrics available agree that Ozzie's defense was the best ever at shortstop. Fielding Runs Above Average is the easiest to access, and Smith's career FRAA was an astounding 254. When you compare him to replacement level, that number rockets up to 836.

    9. Is there any evidence to suggest that the player was significantly better or worse than is suggested by his statistics?

    I don't believe there is.
    His outstanding defense, which isn't captured in any of the basic statistics.

    10. Is he the best player at his position who is eligible for the Hall of Fame but not in?

    Maury Wills has basically the same numbers, and he did it in only 13 seasons.
    Please. Don't insult The Wizard. Nevermind the large gap in career value. They were basically the same offensively, correct, but you just can't seem to grasp how astounding Ozzie was defensively.

    11. How many MVP-type seasons did he have? Did he ever win an MVP award? If not, how many times was he close?

    Finishes 2nd, 13th, 18th, 20th, 21st, and 22nd in MVP voting throughout his career. Never really deserved the award though, even when he came close.
    He deserved it in 1987, and also deserved to place higher than he did in a handful of other seasons.

    12. How many All-Star-type seasons did he have? How many All-Star games did he play in? Did most of the other players who played in this many go to the Hall of Fame?

    15 ASG's, several as flukes late in his career.
    3 as "flukes". Even if you discount those, 12 is still a fantastic number.

    13. If this man were the best player on his team, would it be likely that the team could win the pennant?

    NO. They'd be way short on offense!
    And way ahead of the pack defensively. I'd probably agree that, on the whole, the answer is no, but there are certainly some years in his career where the answer is yes.

    You're (hilariously) underrating his defense, still. That's the entire reason why he got into the Hall, and the entire reason why he deserves to be there.

  2. #17
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by Wassit3 View Post
    Lou Gehrig didn't reach any of those so I guess he's out...
    Which then defaults to the Yankees only rule!

  3. #18
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    A player who is incredibly similar statistically to Duane Kuiper shouldn't be in the HOF.
    Can you please stop insulting Ozzie?

    Ozzie had over 7,000 more plate appearances than Kuiper, dispatching right away of any similarities. Than let's use some better offensive statistics. How about Equivalent Average, which factors in league, park, stolen bases...? League average is always .260. Smith comes out to .261, Kuiper to .239. Smith was a league-average offensive player, which is above average at shortstop, AND was the best defensive shortstop to ever play the game. That adds up to an incredibly valuable player. Kuiper was a replacement level hitter and a below average defender, which adds up to an incredibly poor player.

    Please, you're making ridiculous comparisons that really insult the intelligence of any knowledgeable baseball fan. It's absurd.

  4. #19
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by Wassit3 View Post


    Rick did you know that The Yankees retired Gehrig's uniform number "4", making him the first player in Major League Baseball history to be accorded that honor?
    I'd heard that somehwere along the line....

  5. #20
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Dude, HGM, don't even bother.
    Active Dynasty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kobie View Post
    Ryan is No. 0. He doesn't make the list, since he's clearly on a higher plane of existence than all other quarterbacks, living or dead. He is ... teh messiah.
    I'm not the only one who knows the truth about Matt Ryan.

  6. #21
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    When I said Will Clark, I meant JACK Clark... sorry I'll fix it
    ]

  7. #22
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    When I said Will Clark, I meant JACK Clark... sorry I'll fix it
    Clark played 3 seasons with St. Louis, and his games played went 126-65-131. He was a fantastic hitter when on the field, but an indifferent defender at a corner outfield spot. You're underrating Smith by gigantic proportions.

  8. #23
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    People aren't supposed to be in the Hall because they were really good at one part of the game though (unless they're pitchers).

    If Hank Aaron tripped around on the bases and dropped all fly balls, I doubt he'd be in.

    If Willie Mays was still speedy but dropped all fly balls and couldn't hit for his life, I doubt he'd be in.

    If Ozzie Smith had great fielding, but was OK speed-wise and couldn't hit for his life, then... oh wait
    ]

  9. #24
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    People aren't supposed to be in the Hall because they were really good at one part of the game though (unless they're pitchers).
    People are supposed to be in the Hall for greatness. Like it or not, Ozzie Smith was great.

    If Hank Aaron tripped around on the bases and dropped all fly balls, I doubt he'd be in.
    Yeah, because he wouldn't make it to the major leagues.

    If Willie Mays was still speedy but dropped all fly balls and couldn't hit for his life, I doubt he'd be in.
    Yeah, because he wouldn't make it to the major leagues.

    If Ozzie Smith had great fielding, but was OK speed-wise and couldn't hit for his life, then... oh wait
    Luckily, you didn't describe Ozzie Smith.



    Do you believe that Brooks Robinson belongs in the Hall of Fame?

  10. #25
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonGM View Post
    People are supposed to be in the Hall for greatness. Like it or not, Ozzie Smith was great.

    Luckily, you didn't describe Ozzie Smith.



    Do you believe that Brooks Robinson belongs in the Hall of Fame?


    1) Ozzie Smith is a great fielder.
    Ozzie Smith is a relatively bad hitter.
    Ozzie Smith was speedy, but not to the level that could be considered Hall-worthy.

    2) Brooks, his great fielding, and his NEARLY THREE HUNDRED HOME RUNS definitely belong in the Hall.
    ]

  11. #26
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    1) Ozzie Smith is a great fielder.
    I'd add "all-time" to that.

    Ozzie Smith is a relatively bad hitter.
    No, he wasn't, unless you consider league-average to be "relatively bad."

    Ozzie Smith was speedy, but not to the level that could be considered Hall-worthy.
    And, luckily, that's only part of the reason why he belongs in the Hall.

    2) Brooks, his great fielding, and his NEARLY THREE HUNDRED HOME RUNS definitely belong in the Hall.
    Oh, right, you're the guy that believes the only way to evaluate offense is by using home runs.

  12. #27
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonGM View Post
    I'd add "all-time" to that.


    No, he wasn't, unless you consider league-average to be "relatively bad."


    And, luckily, that's only part of the reason why he belongs in the Hall.


    Oh, right, you're the guy that believes the only way to evaluate offense is by using home runs.
    Brooks had a modest AVG as well, and a fielding pct. not much worse than Ozzie's
    ]

  13. #28
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    Brooks had a modest AVG as well, and a fielding pct. not much worse than Ozzie's
    Robinson's batting average - .267
    Ozzie's batting average - .262

    HUGE difference there!

    Robinson was a better hitter than Ozzie, yes. Ozzie, though, was a more valuable defender. Both are in the Hall purely because of their defensive prowess, and deservingly so. They are both two of the greatest defensive players ever (if not THE greatest defensive players ever).

  14. #29
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonGM View Post
    Robinson's batting average - .267
    Ozzie's batting average - .262

    HUGE difference there!

    Robinson was a better hitter than Ozzie, yes. Ozzie, though, was a more valuable defender. Both are in the Hall purely because of their defensive prowess, and deservingly so. They are both two of the greatest defensive players ever (if not THE greatest defensive players ever).
    But being good at one part of the game doesn't make you a good player. It makes you wildly unbalanced and unuseful.
    ]

  15. #30
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    Re: Most overated HOFers

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    But being good at one part of the game doesn't make you a good player. It makes you wildly unbalanced and unuseful.
    It depends entirely on what that part of the game is and how good you are it.

    Ozzie Smith was a league-average player offensively (once you include his baserunning), which is above average for a shortstop. For a shortstop of his time, Ozzie Smith was a good offensive player. He was a fantastic defender at the key defensive position of shortstop, and fantastic understates just how good he was.

    Overall, it adds up to an incredibly valuable player.

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