I understand your analysis & would concur that the Angels will offer him a deal during the 15 day Post WS FA re signing period but there some problems which may "put a fly in the ointment":
1) The Angels (Moreno & Reagins) have stated that
their priority is to re-sign Vlad,Lackey & Figgins to extensions (which limits their roll somewhat which is already north of 100 million as it stands) & Boras clients usually always test the FA market rather than re-signing;
2) they have other "1B options" - in Morales & Wood who
need to be in MLB ball in 09 (similar with McPherson/Kotchman promotions in the past);
3) they will get
2 1sts if they don't resign him &
4) ARE they really willing to go to 25 million+ a year for him,which is what Scott Boras will be looking for & will undoubtedly get.