The Astros have a snowball's chance in hell. They have no farm system.
The Astros have a snowball's chance in hell. They have no farm system.
Yes Peavy has full no trade & YES he has a "preference for the NL" but he also wants (IMO) to win a WS &/or be on a perennial Playoff team & the 4 AL East teams fill that Criteria.
Just a hypo example of what I am concluding - would he sign for the Giants or the Red Sox ? See what I mean ....
I say St. Louis should offer Rasmus, Wallace or Freese, Mather, Adam Kennedy and a top pitching prospect for Greene and Peavy
Cards need both a shortstop and another steady arm.
Peavy said St. Louis was a possibility (apparently)
San Diego wants to part with Greene
There is no room for Rasmus really
This provides plenty of depth and a good fit for San Diego, and they don't have much of a future at third right now or in center, Wallace and Rasmus both offer that.
The Padres are also looking for pitching as their main priority in any trade for Peavy.
I would be willing to part w Brad Thompson, Adam Ottavino and Jason Motte to complete it
First off WALLACE cannot be traded as he is a 2008 draftee (1 year no trade rule) .Rasmus is St Louis' CF of the future (even maybe by 2009 with Ankiel moving to LF) & well the rest are C+ prospects at best & NO WAY will the Friars take KENNEDY who is 2/3 years past his "sell by date".
In essence that deal just is too too LOW compared to other systems.
You need to look at WHAT the Friars need FOR A TRADE to work & that is :
1° Cheap MLB ready SPs eg Bucholz/Price/Hughes level
2° SS/2B with UPSIDE eg Brignac/Lowrie/
3° OF with UPSIDE - CF if possible - Rasmus/Heyward/Ellsbury/Snider
Cardinals ONLY have 1 of those "need" fillers in Rasmus BUT they have no upside SPs unless they would be willing to deal Wainwright + Garcia/Mortensen & Perez .Even then they would be offering less than the Rays deal outlined above .
Yeah, and San Diego would want players to expedite their rebuilding process. Unless a package blows Kevin Towers away, they don't HAVE to trade Peavy. He's under contract for the next FOUR YEARS (five if they pick up the 2013 option) at an average annual salary of $15.75 million. That alone drives the asking price way, way, WAY up, especially since he's already signed for less money than C.C. Sabathia is going to get.
I doubt Peavy would agree to go to Tampa
There is a "catch" though.It isn't CERTAIN you get to keep Peavy 4/5 years.He will have the right after the 09 season to "opt out" of the contract & test the FA market IF HE WANTS,due to being traded in the midst of a multi-year contract (don(t know his agent but if it is the Hendricks Bros or Boras I would be pushing him to GO ANYWHERE for 1 season).
So he has a Second great "leverage" position which he could use to re-negotiate his "club" friendly deal into a more real market price.