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Thread: Use of splits by media

  1. #16
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    Re: Use of splits by media

    in Wins: .304/.375/.494 (.869 OPS) w/ .335 BABIP,
    in Losses: .231/.294 /.349 (.643 OPS) w/ .269 BABIP

    after 1-0 count: .282/.394/.459 (.853 OPS) w/ .305 BABIP
    after 0-1 count: .238/.281/.361 (.643 OPS) w/ .299 BABIP

    The BABIP in Wins and Losses interests me. I wonder how much the difference is a bad day for the pitchers/good day for the hitters (more line drives and harder hit balls) and how much is luck (seeing eye grounders, bloop singles, etc.).

    It looks to me that it is much more the pitcher having a bad day than luck:
    • In 6.7% more PA
      • 26.6% more Singles are hit
      • while 49.0% more 2B & 3B are hit
      • and 77.2% more HR are hit
      • with 26.3% more NIBB + HBP being allowed,
      • and there are 12.7% less strike outs
      • and 41.8% more RBOE.

  2. #17
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    Re: Use of splits by media

    Quote Originally Posted by gRYFYN1 View Post
    Proabably several batters, i doubt there would be very many pitchers.
    I've been looking, and haven't found anyone even close yet. Anyone have any suggestions of players to look at?

  3. #18
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    Re: Use of splits by media

    I wonder how much the difference is a bad day for the pitchers/good day for the hitters (more line drives and harder hit balls) and how much is luck (seeing eye grounders, bloop singles, etc.).
    You can tell by using a 95% confidence interval and determining the margin of error. What are the actual counts?
    You insist that there is something a machine cannot do. If you will tell me precisely what it is that a machine cannot do, then I can always make a machine which will do just that! -J. von Neumann

  4. #19
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    Re: Use of splits by media

    Quote Originally Posted by gRYFYN1 View Post
    Proabably several batters, i doubt there would be very many pitchers.
    I think it could happen with a pitcher. If in losses, he pitches very well but gets little run support, and in wins pitches mediocrely or even poorly but gets more run support. So I think this is possible, but I just have never seen it. If it have happened, it is likely in a small sample size, like a player with 5-6 starts, as it is not as likely that trend would carry on for too long. But it is possible. I think releivers have a better chace of this occuring do to their appearance throughout wins and losses well having no desicion. So say Releiver B through 44 innings in losses, and 45 in wins, and allowed 12 runs in losses well allowing 18 in wins. This is quite plausible.


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  5. #20
    nuzzy62 Guest

    Re: Use of splits by media

    I make 20 per cent fewer typos when I post a comment after HoustonGm than I do after Frenchredsox, but 10.5 per cent more after an Ohms' comment.

  6. #21
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    Re: Use of splits by media

    lol
    You insist that there is something a machine cannot do. If you will tell me precisely what it is that a machine cannot do, then I can always make a machine which will do just that! -J. von Neumann

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