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Thread: ESPN Expert Predictions

  1. #16
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Yeah. He just has no concept of facts. Or at the very least, no ability to correctly get those facts out of his brain. I've never seen somebody mess up basic facts like player names and stats so often. I honestly think he has some sort of comprehension problem.

  2. #17
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Still Baseball Tonight is the best national Baseball news source via TV/Internet. Fox can't even get it together...lol

  3. #18
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by yankee hater View Post
    Who is Phillips? And yeah Neyer is my favorite.
    Steve Phillips, former GM of the Mets that is featured on Baseball Tonight.

  4. #19
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    The Cubs are overrted because Carlos Zambrano and Ted Liilly are the only really good pitchers, and Zambrano lets lets his emotions take over too much. Hill is ok and could potentially be great, but after that? Marquis is purdy bad. Their bullpen has some young potential stars, but an injury riddled closer who will probably slip in his bathtub again or do something to miss most of the year. Fukodome should be good, but is coming off an injury. Aramis Ramirez and Alfonso Soriano can hit, but Soriano does not drive in enough runs. Lee is very overrated, and i know he was just injured but I dont expect him to be any better than last year. Pie has a poor eye, their shortstop situation is pretty bad, and Theriot is below average. My predicted Central standings:

    Milwaukee: 90-72
    If their pitching does good and Gallardo comes back strong, and if Sheets stays healthy, these guys could do even better than this. And they have an strong offense, Fielder, Hardy, Weeks should be better, Hall if he can return to form.
    Cubs: 83-79 See above
    Cincinatti: 81-81
    Sveral young pitching prospects added to harang and a hopefully back to form Bronson Arroyo gives the Reds a good rotation, and they have Cordero closing things out. This with a hopefully healthy Griffey, Adam Dunn, Brandon Phillips(could be a future MVP) could make this team strong. May even exceed .500.
    Houston: 77-85
    If their prospects do well these guys could do even better.
    St. Loius 73-89
    Likely will go up and down with Houston, have an ok offence, but a poor rotation.
    Pirates 69-93
    Could actually threaten St. Louis and Houston. An overlooked pitching staff with Snell, Gorzelanny, and Duke.


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  5. #20
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsoxRockies View Post
    The Cubs are overrted because Carlos Zambrano and Ted Liilly are the only really good pitchers, and Zambrano lets lets his emotions take over too much. Hill is ok and could potentially be great, but after that?
    How many teams have 3 pitchers they can legitimately count on for at least 180 innings of solid above average pitching each?

    The Yankees? No. The Red Sox? Beckett and Matsuzaka. The Angels? No. The Tigers? No. The Indians? Yes. The Brewers? No. The Diamondbacks? No. The Dodgers? Yes. The Padres? Yes. The Rockies? No. The Mets? Yes. The Braves? No. The Phillies? No.

    The Cubs have one of the better pitching staffs in the league.

    but Soriano does not drive in enough runs.
    Gee...I wonder why. Wouldn't have anything to do with his insistance on being a leadoff hitter, despite his skillset being for the middle of the order, would it? You know, it's pretty hard to drive in runs when you're batting behind pitchers.

    The Cubs have 3 good pitchers. First base, third base, catcher, and left and right field are all going to be above average. Shortstop is going to be bad. Second base is going to be solid, or better if they pick up Roberts. Center field has the potential to be above average. Their bullpen has 3 very solid, dependable guys in Howry, Marmol, and Wuertz, plus a high-risk, high-reward in Wood.

    Yeah, they're not underrated.

    Just look at your Brewers blurb. How many big "ifs" have to go right for them to win 90 games? The Cubs have "ifs" in the back of the rotation, like EVERY team, center field, and....that's it.

  6. #21
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by Reade View Post
    plus if Wood stays healthy
    are cubs fans really still counting on wood to ever be healthy for even half a season?

    if so, why?

  7. #22
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by etothep View Post
    are cubs fans really still counting on wood to ever be healthy for even half a season?

    if so, why?
    Wood is working in a new role as a reliever, it should take some pressure off of his arm.

  8. #23
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by etothep View Post
    are cubs fans really still counting on wood to ever be healthy for even half a season?

    if so, why?
    Because even despite his injuries, in limited time, he's shown flashes of brilliance. He's still capable of striking out a batter an inning, and if his new role as a reliever can keep him healthy, he has the potential to be a lights-out closer.

  9. #24
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    And really Theroit might not be a good hitter, but he is above average defender, above average baserunner and plays hard every play. And I know when he was here(Jackson, TN was the Cubs double A team) playing minor league ball he was playing 2nd base not shortstop.

  10. #25
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonGM View Post
    How many teams have 3 pitchers they can legitimately count on for at least 180 innings of solid above average pitching each?
    The Tigers? No.

    Tigers have Willis, Bonderman, and Verlander. Those 3 seem pretty reliable to me...
    ]

  11. #26
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by metsguy234 View Post
    Tigers have Willis, Bonderman, and Verlander. Those 3 seem pretty reliable to me...
    Bonderman and Willis both posted ERA's above 5 last year. That's reliable?

    I love Bonderman. I've had him on my list of potential breakout candidates for the past few years, and I do again this year. He has very good peripheral numbers, but he's been very inconsistent, and despite flashes of brilliance, has not put together for long stretches of time at once. He could put everything together and have a great season, or he could put up another 5-spot like last season. And that's not what I call reliable.

    Willis has been declining ever since his amazing 2005. He's reliable in the sense that you'll probably get 200 innings out of him, but is that gonna be 200 innings of a 5 ERA or a 3.50 ERA? Some of his miserable season last year has to obviously be attributed to the horrendous defense that was behind him. However, his control has been going downhill, as his strikeout numbers, and according to scouts, his velocity as well. He's certainly young enough to get back on track, but again, that's not what I call reliable.

    The Tigers have one pitcher they can count on for 180 innings of above-average pitching, and that's Verlander. They have another they can count on for 180 innings of slightly below average, and that's Nate Robertson. They have two that they can count on for 180+ innings, but whether or not that's average, better, or worse, is up in the air.

  12. #27
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by yankee hater View Post
    Agree, and go cubs AL wild card. But seriously yeah, you are given a little wiggle room and its silly to expect them to add up to 81 average because of rounding, or just variations. But the Cubs AL wild card thing is a little silly.
    I jsut wanted to say something on this. It's not silly to expect them to add up to an average of 81. It's actually really easy to do. Make sure that the sum of all the wins is 2,430. Even if you're just eyeballing it and not really running numbers and projections...eyeball the wins you predict for each team. Add them all up. If it's above 2,430, subtract some wins from some teams. Add some wins if its below 2,430. It's incredibly simple.

  13. #28
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    or just take wins out.

  14. #29
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    What do you mean?

  15. #30
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    Re: ESPN Expert Predictions

    Don't have wins in context with predictions, instead just use where they will fall in standings...

    btw: I took a look at that link, I saw no mention of wins in that article.

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