Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
Quote:
Four Phillies - Eric Bruntlett, Tyler Walker, Andy Tracy, and Paul Hoover - were removed from the 40-man roster and became free agents today, according to Andy Martino of the Philadelphia Inquirer.
The Phillies are idiots, looks like they won't reap the rewards of Andy Tracy ;)
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Alloutwar
I thought this was going to be a set of predictions about Chone Figgins.
*smirk*
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
if albert draws that few walks, i will eat my hat as well.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
When was the last year Ichiro had under 200 hits?
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
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Originally Posted by
reflections
When was the last year Ichiro had under 200 hits?
was this sarcastic?
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
They have Ryan Church in their Mets predictions.
Fail.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
Quote:
Originally Posted by
reflections
When was the last year Ichiro had under 200 hits?
Probably when he turned 2 years old.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
I love it that they are predicting no Rockie to hit .300 or better.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
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Originally Posted by
rockiesfan4ever
I love it that they are predicting no Rockie to hit .300 or better.
Stop swinging. Let go.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
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Originally Posted by
rockiesfan4ever
I love it that they are predicting no Rockie to hit .300 or better.
"They" aren't predicting anything. It's all pure mathematical formulas.
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
Quote:
Originally Posted by
rockiesfan4ever
I love it that they are predicting no Rockie to hit .300 or better.
No Rockies players will hit .300 this year. This is the Schu projection.
:p
Re: 2010 CHONE Projections
It's also important to remember that projections are essentially the MEAN of a bunch of projections. Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA projections (when they're out, which won't be until early 2010, usually) show the percentages at various percentiles - 10th percentile projection, 50th percentile, 90th percentile, etc. A projection like CHONE only shows the mean projection, but it still uses the same basic structure to arrive at that mean. Projections are heavily "regressed to the mean." They don't attempt to project which guys will overperform or underperform their actual talent level - because that is essentially a random event. It is expected that a good amount of players will outperform their projection and a good amount will underperform their projection.