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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
Mariners sign Ackley, confirmed by USSM
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First reported by Jonathan Mayo, the Mariners have signed first round pick Dustin Ackley to a major league contract worth $9.5 million. The M’s got the deal done with the #2 pick in the draft just a few minutes before the deadline, which was expected when he was selected.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
HoustonGM
Absolutely not true. Future value is value.
this is where we agree but disagree... I think teams are stupid for banking so much $ on a "maybe"
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
well HGM, it's fine if we disagree. i see it a little differently then you do. oh well.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
he signed via mlbtr
Baseball America's Aaron Fitt says Strasburg signed a Major League deal worth $15.67MM over four years.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
Strasburg= 15.67 mil over 4 years
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
he signed via mlbtr
Yep I already reported that.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
this is where we agree but disagree... I think teams are stupid for banking so much $ on a "maybe"
Well it happens every single offseason on the free agent market and in-season.
I think it's more stupid to spend $10 mil. on an aging veteran when you're in last place than it is to spend $15 mil. on a guy that dominated college like no other and has the scouting to back it up. Way more money is wasted on veterans than on amateurs.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
hey boras where is the other 34.34 million?
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
hey boras where is the other 34.34 million?
Everybody knew that that $50 million was never going to happen, including Boras.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
hey boras where is the other 34.34 million?
Uh..it was obviously just to get his player more money? You know..like everyone has said for the past 3-4 months..
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
ZOMG, BORAS RUINED ANOTHER DRAFT!!!! HE JUST WANTED TO GET HIS MONEY AND DIDN'T CARE ABOUT THE PLAYERS!!!
/sarcasm.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
HoustonGM
Well it happens every single offseason on the free agent market and in-season.
I think it's more stupid to spend $10 mil. on an aging veteran when you're in last place than it is to spend $15 mil. on a guy that dominated college like no other and has the scouting to back it up. Way more money is wasted on veterans than on amateurs.
Oh I dont disagree on tha tpoint... I just think it would be better spent on CURRENT talent... if ur not wasting it on aging vets and young unprovens... you can keep a guy like carl crawford, josh becket, Holliday, etc
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
HoustonGM
Everybody knew that that $50 million was never going to happen, including Boras.
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Originally Posted by
200tang
Uh..it was obviously just to get his player more money? You know..like everyone has said for the past 3-4 months..
it was a joke guys relax
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
Oh I dont disagree on tha tpoint... I just think it would be better spent on CURRENT talent... if ur not wasting it on aging vets and young unprovens... you can keep a guy like carl crawford, josh becket, Holliday, etc
Well you're never going to get more of those guys without spending money on them when they're young.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
bucher34
Srasburg just signed
:p where ya been?
i reported it like 5 minutes ago... hello.... dont you wait on our every word :p
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
HoustonGM
Well you're never going to get more of those guys without spending money on them when they're young.
I could be wrong BUT i think you would be more likely to if ther was some type of slotting system
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
So how long before we see Ackley or Strasburg in the bigs.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
Oh I dont disagree on tha tpoint... I just think it would be better spent on CURRENT talent... if ur not wasting it on aging vets and young unprovens... you can keep a guy like carl crawford, josh becket, Holliday, etc
Or you can pay for current talent and get guys like Barry Zito/Vernon Wells/etc..
Never ever ever ever ever ever ever ever ever ever pay based on what they did EVER. If a guy is declining it's stupid to pay him for what he's DONE rather than what you expect him TO DO. Just this last off-season K-Rod was signed despite declining K rates & violent delivery and JJ Putz was traded despite lack of velocity and injury problems. Look how both of those have turned out (K-Rod has been pretty good, but I'm sure they were expecting more).
Point is, Young players will be under control for 6 years and are only going to get better. FAs aren't under control for 6 years and only get worse (This is speaking generally of course).
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
I could be wrong BUT i think you would be more likely to if ther was some type of slotting system
Possibly, sure, but that's harmful to the player's bottom line. You need to balance both the teams and the players needs and wants, and an open negotiation is the best way to do that.
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Originally Posted by
200tang
Or you can pay for current talent and get guys like Barry Zito/Vernon Wells/etc..
Never ever ever ever ever ever ever ever ever ever pay based on what they did EVER. If a guy is declining it's stupid to pay him for what he's DONE rather than what you expect him TO DO. Just this last off-season K-Rod was signed despite declining K rates & violent delivery and JJ Putz was traded despite lack of velocity and injury problems. Look how both of those have turned out (K-Rod has been pretty good, but I'm sure they were expecting more).
Point is, Young players will be under control for 6 years and are only going to get better. FAs aren't under control for 6 years and only get worse (This is speaking generally of course).
Exactly. Whenever you sign a player, free agent or amateur, you're paying him for what you EXPECT HIM TO DO IN THE FUTURE. Thus, if you pay him based on what's he done, you're making a giant mistake. Rather, you need to use what's he done to make an educated projection on what you expect him to do in the future and pay him based on THAT.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
how does Strasburg's four year deal actually work out? arby years etc......how does a four year deal work with him?
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
It's weird to know the Nats are complaining about the Strasburg money and are perfectly fine with paying Adam Dunn more, for 2 years less and no realistic chance of making the playoffs while he's here.
GREAT USE OF MONEY!
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
200tang
It's weird to know the Nats are complaining about the Strasburg money and are perfectly fine with paying Adam Dunn more, for 2 years less and no realistic chance of making the playoffs while he's here.
GREAT USE OF MONEY!
I was just thinking about that...haha.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
Jeffy25
how does Strasburg's four year deal actually work out? arby years etc......how does a four year deal work with him?
I believe it works the same as David Price. In the final 2 years he goes to regular arb.
[Edit : I believe the deal also means if he starts in the minors in a year he uses up one of his three options]
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
asianinvasion
So how long before we see Ackley or Strasburg in the bigs.
FWIW, Strasburg is on the Nats 40-man roster right now, so probably this year for him.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
But with these amatures you have even less of an idea then the guys in the bigs. I am not saying make it so say the #1 overall gets 1 million bonus... thats crazy... but have say a cap of 10 million or something like that thats scales its way down... it doenst guarentee the player that but it sets at least a limit
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
metsguy234
FWIW, Strasburg is on the Nats 40-man roster right now, so probably this year for him.
Doubt it. He'll probably be up next year.
Ackley will probably be ready in 2011. More so because there's no room for him rather than him being ready. His approach at the plate is already big league ready, all he has to do is hitting for power with a wooden bat and getting used to playing CF again.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
Rangers fail to sign their 1st round pick, Matt Purke, who looks like will be headed to college.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
I wonder being on the 40 man if it will start his arb faster? I know it means he can be called up this year (tho I think they said they would not do that a month or so ago) I see the seattle guy coming up 1st... i don't know why
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
But with these amatures you have even less of an idea then the guys in the bigs. I am not saying make it so say the #1 overall gets 1 million bonus... thats crazy... but have say a cap of 10 million or something like that thats scales its way down... it doenst guarentee the player that but it sets at least a limit
Why? I mean..the now record is 15.6M for 4 years & 2 extra years of club control. That isn't even that bad. Yeah, you have less of an idea, but that contract is a steal if he projects as well as scouts think. If not, oh well, it won't kill their finances in any way.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
Well if he's on the 40-man they're gonna have to call him up.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
I wonder being on the 40 man if it will start his arb faster? I know it means he can be called up this year (tho I think they said they would not do that a month or so ago) I see the seattle guy coming up 1st... i don't know why
He most likely won't be up first unless there is an injury/trade or he switches positions. Our OF right now is pretty stacked.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
Jeffy25
how does Strasburg's four year deal actually work out? arby years etc......how does a four year deal work with him?
It just means he has a guaranteed salary for the first four years of his career. After that, assuming all four are spent entirely in the majors, he'll be arb.-eligible for two more years before being FA-eligible.
Anyway, one more example here. When you hit on a prospect, no matter what you pay, you're getting A LOT more bang for your buck. Mark Prior signed for around $10 million. In his rookie year, using FanGraphs WAR, he was worth $7.2 million. In his second year, he was worth $21.2 million. In just one and a half years of playing time, the Cubs got performance worth nearly triple their investment. All together for his career, Prior was worth $46.2 million. He got paid $12.8 million plus his draft day signing bonus. Even an eventual bust more than paid off the investment.
Of course, yes, there are guys that bust and wind up providing nothing for an investment, but never an investment more than $10 mil at most, which is chump change for a Major League team. Strasburg could have one good season, blow his arm out, and would've gave the Nationals performance worth his contract.
Amateur contracts are astoundingly cheap overall, and while there's no way I could do a systematic study of this, I'd bet everything I own that drafted players in their first 3 MLB years provide more value for their overall cost than free agents in their first three years after signing a contract provide for their salary.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
200tang
Why? I mean..the now record is 15.6M for 4 years & 2 extra years of club control. That isn't even that bad. Yeah, you have less of an idea, but that contract is a steal if he projects as well as scouts think. If not, oh well, it won't kill their finances in any way.
.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
But with these amatures you have even less of an idea then the guys in the bigs. I am not saying make it so say the #1 overall gets 1 million bonus... thats crazy... but have say a cap of 10 million or something like that thats scales its way down... it doenst guarentee the player that but it sets at least a limit
Why even bother with that then? Only two players have ever broken that barrier - one paid it off with his performance and then some (see above post) and the other is coming up.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
metsguy234
Well if he's on the 40-man they're gonna have to call him up.
No. Not how it works...at all...Porcello was on the 40 man when he signed in 2007. He didn't come up until this year.
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
TheNamelessPoet
.
Forgot we could predict FA's. Oh..wait..
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
HoustonGM
No. Not how it works...at all...Porcello was on the 40 man when he signed in 2007. He didn't come up until this year.
Don't you have to call up everyone on the 40-man come September 1st?
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
200tang
Forgot we could predict FA's. Oh..wait..
lol
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Re: 2009 MLB Draft Signee Thread
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Originally Posted by
metsguy234
Don't you have to call up everyone on the 40-man come September 1st?
No. Another fail by MG.