Yeah, they'll probably move a lot of guys to make room for Corey Patterson to play everyday. :pQuote:
Originally Posted by HoustonGM
Printable View
Yeah, they'll probably move a lot of guys to make room for Corey Patterson to play everyday. :pQuote:
Originally Posted by HoustonGM
Wasn't online last night, so I'm chiming in a bit late, but nonetheless:
Great signing by Washington. I wish the Mets had gotten Dunn to play left field :D
I just discovered that it's a lopsided contract, in that he's going to get a 50% raise from '09 to '10. In other words, instead of it being 10/10, it's 8/12 million.
IMO this makes it a worse deal, as I believe (though could be wrong) that two of their best players are going to be up for arb next year, Zimmerman and Milledge. I know Bowden is privy to what the Nats finances actually are going to be while I'm not, but as fan, it's my right to question it :D, and I just like the deal even less structured this way.
IMO, it's going to make it even harder to deal him if that's the route they go (since 2010's salary is 50% higher than 2009's, and I believe the economy will be worse), or it makes it harder to make any kind of real additions next year if they keep him as his salary becomes $12M and the salaries of their two best players become inflated.
If the guy hits 40 HR's and gets on base at a .400 clip, I'll post here at the end of the season and admit how wrong I am. But I don't think he's going to, and I don't think it was worth the money for two years, two years when this team isn't really going to compete for anything anyway. And I'll leave my comments on the matter at that, since most disagree anyway. Didn't mean to get on folks' nerves. But I bet I'm not the only one that questions their favorite teams' GM's moves. :D
I'm just curious...what makes you think Dunn won't hit 40 home runs or get on base at the clip he's always gotten on base at? 5 consecutive seasons of 40+ home runs (4 of those with 40 on the nose), and 4 of those 5 seasons with an OBP of .386-.388. Why do you think he won't continue doing it?
Even if he doesn't reach 40 home runs, I'd guarantee that the difference is entirely in the park effects and that he's an equally productive player as he's been the last 5 years.
LOL, well, my thinking ain't gonna have no "evidence" to back it up, so I guess it's best left unsaid, although I'll say a couple of things :).
But one part of it is I really believe he's a back injury waiting to happen, and now that he's no longer in his low to mid 20's, if I'm right, it could strike at anytime.
But, there's also performance reasons, of which I'm not gonna go into because it would likely start another debate :D. Let's just say I wouldn't be surprised if he played the whole year and his final numbers were something like a .240 avg, 28 HR's, and a .350 OBP, with 150 K's. EDIT: (And I wouldn't be surprised if Bobby Abreu, who signed the same day for half the money, finishes with better offensive numbers).
*shrug* Considering that the last time Abreu was better than Dunn was 2004, and Abreu is 6 years older, I'd be incredibly surprised if Abreu finishes with better numbers in 2009. Dunn would also have to suffer a pretty large drop-off in his walks to drop down to a .350 OBP while maintaining his customary .240 average, and I don't see any reason why that would happen.