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    09-26-2019, 02:42 AM
    Reversion to the mean is forcing a reduction in ability of a player so that after a great season he will not have a second great season. Statistically, most players will have a poor season following an unusually good season. So Clay included an algorithm to insure that players "returned" to their mean. This was actually harmful since many players have repeat great seasons and reversion to the mean is a natural consequence of a probability simulation. For example, if a player has a...
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11-10-2019 12:45 AM
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